Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 45.272939 52.015020 59.030766 66.844705 75.273592 84.062822 93.891446
2024-10-27 33.648169 42.861977 53.029994 64.950548 78.414947 93.034268 109.991205
2024-11-03 29.257723 40.105659 52.570952 67.680828 85.242198 104.774312 127.909849
2024-11-10 25.531591 37.449090 51.650555 69.367984 90.456190 114.372442 143.174489
2024-11-17 21.343419 33.643270 48.863625 68.405407 92.206386 119.699190 153.318632
2024-11-24 17.909968 30.353846 46.332580 67.411420 93.630889 124.418337 162.574998
2024-12-01 15.506558 28.132200 44.902658 67.561453 96.260924 130.429006 173.248364
2024-12-08 13.487999 26.197178 43.646522 67.761451 98.819254 136.260195 183.648518
2024-12-15 11.911492 24.711318 42.842231 68.421839 101.860859 142.617701 194.648549
2024-12-22 10.076858 22.604702 41.001941 67.563517 102.856872 146.385264 202.464699
2024-12-29 9.061816 21.670497 40.726756 68.735361 106.413694 153.295165 214.103469
2025-01-05 8.217913 20.914560 40.636019 70.105588 110.197287 160.478851 226.090850
2025-01-12 6.919991 19.222949 39.062311 69.366405 111.201606 164.207780 233.907259
2025-01-19 5.538936 17.157068 36.753863 67.457186 110.550313 165.772991 239.001374
2025-01-26 5.269776 17.190034 37.717962 70.247928 116.238121 175.464491 254.287670
2025-02-02 4.824484 16.802915 37.968468 71.975150 120.474408 183.299336 267.271778
2025-02-09 3.963197 15.390832 36.437089 70.990019 120.933675 186.209078 274.024281
2025-02-16 3.216161 14.068851 34.944067 69.972718 121.281181 188.927483 280.505642
2025-02-23 2.728992 13.253869 34.254441 70.126279 123.231305 193.730499 289.642215
2025-03-02 2.308464 12.508612 33.626463 70.330977 125.226243 198.581141 298.843234
2025-03-09 1.990992 11.964651 33.318330 71.006846 127.876596 204.300330 309.173966
2025-03-16 1.562142 10.960658 32.070834 70.128391 128.252170 206.956726 315.536760
2025-03-23 1.373132 10.652912 32.123861 71.327698 131.630525 213.649594 327.153313